Ritual

We say that Britain has no written Constitution and we here in the USA have a written Constitution. But there are unwritten elements to our public life which are of great importance. The concession speech at the end of an election is an important part of our “unwritten” Constitution.

The concession speech puts an end to the campaign and the mindset of the campaign. It reminds people that the campaign is not everything, that some things are more important even than the hoped for victory and the sadness of defeat, that democracy itself is the most important thing. Done correctly, the concession speech drains the bitterness and anger, it gets people to focus on the future. The candidate takes the failure on himself and, in that way, absolves his followers of responsibility for the defeat and allows them to go on their way with a feeling of closure.

I watched Kerry’s concession speech. It was done with class. He struck the right notes. A gesture of regard for the victor, “the fight goes on” for Democrats, but unity is needed, and we should not have anger, etc., and we are all Americans and this is a great country and it is a privilege to be here. It was formulaic, but so are marriage vows. Language on such ceremonial occasions is supposed to be formulaic. Ceremonies are not “empty ritual” but are affirmations of our common life together, of continuity, and they are the glue that holds our immense, disparate society together.

There is a right way to do it. You hate like Hell when your guy has to be the one to do it, but you know it has to be done. To his credit, Kerry did it right.

The ritual was adhered to. The legitimacy of our democratic process was reaffirmed. The Republic remains secure.

God bless America.

And now, Chicago Moonbats

You might want to steer clear of federal plaza today (11/3). The less restrained portion of the Kerry coalition will be protesting the Iraq war at 5 pm. This is part of a 30 city protest tour today. Chicago festivities will continue with a two day protest against bankers, Thursday and Friday. Hopefully the violence will be kept to a minimum.

Thank You, Senator Kerry

Kerry is going to concede, and I agree with Ann Althouse and Glenn Reynolds that this is the right thing to do and reflects well on him. The damage from the 2000 election wasn’t caused so much by the uncertainty of the recounts and legal challenges as by Al Gore’s encouragement of shrill and combative behavior among his supporters, which set the stage for much of the hyperpartisan divisiveness that we have experienced since then. The country will be better off for Senator Kerry’s mature restraint in the face of personal bad news.

BTW, I’m not gloating over Kerry’s defeat. I’m relieved that Bush won, but the shoe could easily have been on the other foot. For quite a few hours yesterday it looked like Bush was going to lose, and I did a lot of thinking about the prospects of an upcoming Kerry administration. It didn’t feel good but I was resigned to it, and I imagine that’s how Kerry’s supporters feel today. I wish them all the best, and hope that the election outcome will be revealed by time to have been the best outcome for all of us.

Touch and Go

I’m relieved that Bush appears to have won, but I was pretty nervous earlier. Here’s an Intrade screenshot (emphasis added) from Tuesday afternoon, after the pro-Kerry exit-poll rumors but before there were any strong public indications that Bush would do well.

Maalox Moment

I am a bit concerned that Bush’s margin of victory in Ohio will not be enough to forestall a Kerry challenge. There is still enough uncertainty as I write this, at 2:00 AM EST, that Intrade’s Bush re-election contract is trading at only around 93. It should be at 98 or 99 if Bush has a lock on it. I hope that Kerry will have enough sense not to drag this out, and that Bush will soon emerge as the clear winner.

The Fog of Politics

Wild. Exit poll results are being leaked, or manufactured to boost morale, or a combination. It’s like watching a volatile futures market near expiration. Intrade’s Bush-reelect numbers are all over the place, on huge volume. I don’t believe most of what I’m reading. This is already a very interesting election, if only because so much more information is being broadcast in almost-real-time than ever before. Except that a lot of this information is undoubtedly wrong.

This situation is like the “fog of war.” There is always uncertainty about fast-moving events, and technological improvements don’t necessary improve information availability. What the tech improvements do is compress the uncertainty in time and shift it into areas where, in the past, nobody expected timely information (e.g., those exit polls).

Stay tuned. (But of course we all will.)