EMH Vs. “Irrational Exuberance”

WSJ ran an article today (subscription required) on the continuing debate between efficient market theorists and the so-called behaviorists who have set up shop at Friedman’s old office. I don’t know about the “boyz” but I continue to split my funds three ways in both my personal account and in 401K: International Index, Russell 2000 Index, and SP 500 Index. As the “behaviorists” concede, I find it hard to beat the market over the long-run. And in my case, long-run is when I die most probably in about 40 years or so.

Addressing the Social Security problem will be one of the most important domestic issues in the next four years regardless of who wins the November election. I suspect we will be hearing more of this topic in forthcoming years.

-Sulaiman