Most reports show possibly record setting voter turnout for today’s election. Question is, whom does that help? Historically, high voter turnout helps Democrats — Republicans usually max out their voter participation rates in nearly every election, so the high turnout is thought to be driven by episodic Democratic voters. If true, this would help Kerry. I wonder, though, if this pattern is still true or whether it holds for this particular election. There seems to be a lot of energy all over, this year, and a lot of people who will vote for Bush because of the war that normally wouldn’t even think about voting Republican.
Matt Welch on Hit and Run has Zogby calling the Electoral college for Kerry but has Bush winning the popular vote. I would like to see that just to watch Democrats suddenly fall in love with the electoral college and to watch Republicans bemoan the lack of one-man-one-vote.