4 thoughts on “A Letter from Poland”

  1. The comments on Pam Gellar’s blog overwhelmingly apologize for the current president, and ask for patience while we sort out whether we will remain a free people or not. They seem to assume that we will. I am not so sanguine. The rule of law has taken one hell of a beating this year, and the existence of open, free, elections with an honest vote count in 2010 is not assured. Let alone in 2012.

    The people of Eastern Europe have first hand knowledge of what is like to be conquered by both Leninists and National Socialists. And they have first hand knowledge of what it is like to be betrayed out of hand by the so-called Powers; both in Western Europe, and sadly the United States.

    If time permits before Russia moves, they [the Poles and Czechs, and hopefully other former subject states in association with them] have one chance to stay free and independent. They have nuclear reactors of Soviet design, and they have industrial bases. Any first year college physics student can design a nuclear device that will fit in a VW Bus and give a 20 kt yield. [It has been done repeatedly] I assume that they can do better than that. They do not need to miniaturize and ruggedize it to fit a missile that they do not have. Aircraft will do. The ranges are short. And I suspect there would be volunteers for a one way mission. Faced with the prospect of losing either one or more cities or one or more key assets; Vladimir Vladimirovich may think twice.

    Between Russia encouraging Iranian nuclear weapons, and the United States abandoning/attacking allies as fast as it can; nuclear non-proliferation is now a dead issue. Some day we will look back on the old bi-polar nuclear standoff as the good old days, when radioactive mushrooms did not grow in cities. In the absence of the old system of deterrence to keep the peace, it is every country for itself. And the only currency in the new market of international affairs is going to be denominated in KT and MT.

    And since it is a given that Buraq Hussein Obama was lying about a “new” system to replace what was cancelled; the Western Europeans may want to reflect a moment on the changed strategic situation. Iran, which backs the rioters in Western Europe, will be able to reach Western Europe with nukes almost as soon as they can build both warheads and missiles. The IAEA just said that will be soon. The appeasement loving Europeans now have NO defence against an Iranian attack. Further, since Obama has made it clear that he has no intention of opposing Russia in anything; the Western Europeans better hope that their current myth that the Russian Bear is now permanently tame, is true. If it is not ….

    Subotai Bahadur

  2. The above analysis by Subotai Bahadur is about as succinct an analysis of the situation as I have read. I would only add that the one thing left out in the analysis is the fact that now the entire East Coast of the US will also be defenseless. The Poland/Czech site would have protected the Eastern US in the same way it’s technological counterpart in Alaska protects the Western US. By canceling this site, Obama has insured that both the probability and the possibility of an EMP attack on the eastern half of America by long range ICBMS has vastly increased–as witness the latest UN/IAEA arms-control inspection report which states this capability is growing–in contradistinction to the advise of Obamas’ nat. security “advisors”–people whose constantly changing estimation of the threat/non-threat seems to revolve around the political rather than the factual.

  3. Obama & his assciates are evidently assuming that it will be a long, long time before Iran achieves intercontinental missile range. I think this is a very dangerous assumption.

    In 1954, the United States made a “go” decision on the Atlas missile program, which had thus far been only a preliminary R&D effort. In 1958–only four years later–an Atlas nose cone flew 6000 miles and landed accurately.

    True, Iran does not have anything like the industrial & scientific resources that the U.S. had in 1954. But it’s equally true that today a lot of components are available off-the-shelf which in 1954 had to be developed specifically for the missile program. And it’s also true that there is now a lot of missile-relevant knowledge in the open scientific publications which in 1954 had to be learned for the first time.

    Now, *maybe* Iran doesn’t have any military/scientific leaders as talented as Gen Bernard Scriever, who ran Atlas for the U.S. But I don’t think it’s wise to bet our civilization on it.

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