Not getting cocky yet, but …
Posted by Chicago Boyz Archive on September 8th, 2004 (All posts by Chicago Boyz Archive)
Jim Miller has an excellent run down of election predictions based on a variety of sources: online trading, analysis of polling data, econometric models.
It is looking good for Bush by all metrics.
But, not getting cocky. Not jinxing anything. Not this early. No way.
September 8th, 2004 at 4:11 pm
Via Lucianne:
President Bush emerged from the Republican National Convention with a surge of support that, if it lasts, would give him a solid win in Arizona, a new Arizona Republic Poll shows. A survey of 600 likely voters found that if the election were held now, Bush would sweep Democratic Sen. John Kerry by 54-38 percent. The 16-point gap was a dramatic shift…
And NJ is in play, too. And Oregon.
September 8th, 2004 at 5:56 pm
Have you selected the California sparkling wine you plan to ser on election night?
September 8th, 2004 at 5:56 pm
ser=serve
September 8th, 2004 at 5:59 pm
I’m drinking bourbon on election night.
Whatever happens.
September 8th, 2004 at 7:46 pm
I wonder what the Bourbons will be drinking on elections night?
If Bush wins, it’ll be Perrier. The better to wash down the handful of aspirins.
September 9th, 2004 at 8:16 am
Thanks for the “excellent”. I plan to be doing these summaries more frequently as the election approaches. If I am missing any important predictions, please let me know.
September 9th, 2004 at 3:54 pm
Now that the forgeries used by 60 Minutes have come to light, I have to ask what brand of aspirin you plan to take, Michael.