Some Chicago Boyz know each other from student days at the University of Chicago. Others are Chicago boys in spirit. The blog name is also intended as a good-humored gesture of admiration for distinguished Chicago School economists and fellow travelers.
Jim Miller has an excellent run down of election predictions based on a variety of sources: online trading, analysis of polling data, econometric models.
It is looking good for Bush by all metrics.
But, not getting cocky. Not jinxing anything. Not this early. No way.
Comments are closed.
Via Lucianne:
President Bush emerged from the Republican National Convention with a surge of support that, if it lasts, would give him a solid win in Arizona, a new Arizona Republic Poll shows. A survey of 600 likely voters found that if the election were held now, Bush would sweep Democratic Sen. John Kerry by 54-38 percent. The 16-point gap was a dramatic shift…
And NJ is in play, too. And Oregon.
Have you selected the California sparkling wine you plan to ser on election night?
ser=serve
I’m drinking bourbon on election night.
Whatever happens.
I wonder what the Bourbons will be drinking on elections night?
If Bush wins, it’ll be Perrier. The better to wash down the handful of aspirins.
Thanks for the “excellent”. I plan to be doing these summaries more frequently as the election approaches. If I am missing any important predictions, please let me know.
Now that the forgeries used by 60 Minutes have come to light, I have to ask what brand of aspirin you plan to take, Michael.