Jim Miller has an excellent run down of election predictions based on a variety of sources: online trading, analysis of polling data, econometric models.
It is looking good for Bush by all metrics.
But, not getting cocky. Not jinxing anything. Not this early. No way.
7 thoughts on “Not getting cocky yet, but …”
President Bush emerged from the Republican National Convention with a surge of support that, if it lasts, would give him a solid win in Arizona, a new Arizona Republic Poll shows. A survey of 600 likely voters found that if the election were held now, Bush would sweep Democratic Sen. John Kerry by 54-38 percent. The 16-point gap was a dramatic shift…
And NJ is in play, too. And Oregon.
Have you selected the California sparkling wine you plan to ser on election night?
I’m drinking bourbon on election night.
I wonder what the Bourbons will be drinking on elections night?
If Bush wins, it’ll be Perrier. The better to wash down the handful of aspirins.
Thanks for the “excellent”. I plan to be doing these summaries more frequently as the election approaches. If I am missing any important predictions, please let me know.
Now that the forgeries used by 60 Minutes have come to light, I have to ask what brand of aspirin you plan to take, Michael.
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