Just want to get my election predictions on record.
I think Bush will win with in excess of 52% of the popular vote and in excess of 300 electoral votes.
The scope of the victory may be just wishful thinking on my part. I want whomever wins to win big so we don’t have some kind of lawyer-driven nightmare that could permanently cripple our democracy. I also want the Democrats to lose big so that, just maybe, they will launch some kind of internal reform that will make them once again the forward looking, new-idea party instead of the leftist reactionaries they are today. I also believe that a resounding Bush victory will save hundreds of lives in Iraq and elsewhere.
I think an unexpectedly strong Bush showing may happen because of the tenor of the basic theme of each candidate. Bush’s implied vision of America is an optimistic vision of a nation that is powerful, morally capable and engaged in a heroic struggle for the betterment of humanity. Kerry’s implied vision of America is a pessimistic vision of a nation that is weak, immoral, incapable and engaged in a venal exercise in mass murder. Which vision will voters want to embrace in the privacy of the voting booth?
In essence, this election is less between two individuals than it is between these two conflicting visions of America, for which the individuals are mere proxies. Historically, Americans have chosen the optimistic vision and have done so strongly.
Let us hope they do so again.