Posted by Michael Kennedy on January 21st, 2014 (All posts by Michael Kennedy)
The catastrophic launch of Obamacare and its continuing problems has been decried as “Stalingrad for the Democrats.” I tend to agree but there is another issue coming soon that is “a cloud no bigger than a man’s hand.” It is Amnesty for illegal aliens and it is coming to a Republican Party near you.
Mickey Krause, one of the last blue dog Democrats thinks it will be a sellout.
The coming weeks will see the formal start of the GOP House leadership’s attempt to sneak an immigration amnesty through the Republican caucus and into law. We don’t know the exact details of the proposals, but we know enough:
Citizenship isn’t the big dealbreaker issue. That’s because Democrats would ultimately–reluctantly, of course–accept a bill that did not give illegal immigrants a “path to citizenship” if it gave Dems what they really want, namely quick legal status before any new enforcement measures must be in place.
Does anyone think that will be the end of it ?
2. It will be described as “enforcement first.”
Since Democrats and Latino groups would never go for an actual “enforcement first” approach–e.g., enacting universal E-verify, an exit-entry system, building a fence and waiting a few years for legal challenges to peter out**–this claim will necessarily be a fraud, the framing of which will be a key challenge for Boehner & Co.
Don’t believe it for a minute.
letting President Obama decide when the enforcement mechanisms are sufficiently “in place.” That means a convoluted debate over “triggers,” the traditional playground for legislative legerdemain.
We’ve been through this already. Remember the fence ?
McCain has seen both sides of the fence debate. For years, McCain mocked the idea of building a fence across the southern border of the United States as something logistically untenable. But with more political power adhering to border protectionists within the Republican Party, McCain would actually agree to building a fence in 2006, when, according to Vanity Fai r, he told a group of Milwaukee businessmen that he would “build the g******ed fence if they want it.” (He also said he believed it to be the least effective tool against illegal immigration.)
And while running for re-election in 2010, McCain, feeling pressure from the pro-border tea party, ran a political ad where he said, “Complete the dang fence!”
Those words uttered undoubtedly for re-election purposes — paraphrased — came back to haunt him Tuesday.
At the town hall meeting, McCain didn’t totally dismiss the fence idea, but it appears that his thinking on the subject has evolved. He suggested exploring technological means of securing the border.
Yup, its the old “Virtual Fence.”
But why are the politicians abandoning the economic interests of the country’s basic laborers, and the strong anti-amnesty convictions of their own constituents (in the case of most Republicans), and doing it at such an objectively inauspicious time? It’s hard to deny that cash is doing much of the swaying here. “[A]ll the money is on the side of pushing it,” one pro-amnesty Democratic Congressman boasted–money in the form not only of direct campaign contributions, as promised by Mark Zuckerberg ($50 million) and the Chamber of Commerce, but also future consulting contracts and lobbying positions for those who echo the line that Republicans just have to do this to remain viable.
If anything can lose the House and keep the Senate in Democrat hands, it would be amnesty and the alienation of the Republican base. Can that happen ? Just watch. We’ll see.
If strong voter opposition makes itself heard again, as it has in the past, the majority of the GOP caucus that Boehner says he needs probably won’t go along with his pro- amnesty “principles.” If that opposition doesn’t materialize, some form of legalization-before-enforcement becomes an inevitability. The coming weeks will tell.
The business people often frame this as a technological need, as if illegal aliens were budding programmers. I spent 30 years treating illegals in southern California and, after I retired, spent some time reviewing workers comp claims. The Hispanics made up around half the claims and, of those I reviewed, about half were illiterate, not only in English but in Spanish ! They claimed second grade education in Mexico for the most part. We all know Mexican and Central American immigrants who have adopted enough of the culture and have been educated. Some day, that group could be candidates for legalization AFTER the border is secure. That is not what Democrats have in mind.