I am a very simple guy, and I ask simple questions. This political season I am asking a question to myself over and over and over – just how many conservative/libertarian folks such as myself have been crossing over and voting for Obama in open primaries? My initial guess was a bunch, and it looks as though I may have been correct.
First, let me explain how the primary system works here in Wisconsin. You enter the polling place and are handed a ballot with each party’s candidates. You are then allowed to choose which primary you would like to vote in. Since I hate the woman from Hades so much I decided to vote for Obama, to do my part to keep her out of the White House. Not that he will be much better, but I do think that he will have to turn drastically to the center during the general campaign – if he is the winner of the D primary. But that is for another time.
Now lets take a look at the results of the past few elections in Wisconsin.
- 1996 – Clinton – 1,071,971 (49%) Dole – 845,029 (39%) Perot – 227,339 (10%)
- 2000 – Bush – 1,237,279 (48%) Gore – 1,242,987 (48%) Nader – 94,070 (4%)
- 2004 – Bush – 1,478,120 (49.4%) Kerry – 1,489,504 (49.7%)
As you can see, this state is pretty well divided right down the middle.
Now lets check out this year’s primary totals:
- Obama: 646,007, Clinton: 452,795 – total 1,098,802 (75% of primary vote total)
- McCain: 224,226, Huckabee: 151,201 – total 375,427 (25% of primary vote total)
What this simple math tells me is that fewer Democrats came out in this intense primary than usually do in a presidential election. And that FAR fewer Republicans came out. This in and of itself isn’t unusual. I think that something more sinister is up though. I believe that tons of Republicans crossed over and voted for Obama. Being an open primary there really is no way to tell how many did cross over, but the total lack of interest in a pretty much already decided Republican contest had to contribute to many conservatives and other HRC haters casting votes for Obama. I am guessing that this is happening all across the country as well. The Dems may very well win this fall, but I believe they are in for a tougher fight than they may have bargained for.
I don’t exactly watch the news shows that fixate on this stuff, but they really don’t seem to be saying too much about the “Hate Hill” factor, as I like to call it.
As a side note, there was nothing else on the ballot at least in my county (Dane) this time around, just the primaries.
Cross posted at LITGM.