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  • Political Benchmarks

    Posted by Jonathan on February 26th, 2004 (All posts by )

    One problem with political campaigns is a lot like a problem with mutual-fund performance measurement: it’s common practice only to compare candidates against the competition rather than versus absolute standards. So a mutual fund that loses money for customers may be called good if it loses less money than other funds do, or less than do market indices like the S&P 500.

    Similarly, journalists often seem more interested in the competitive aspects of campaigns than they do in substantial questions about candidates’ characters and ideas.

    I can understand this selective performance-framing when it’s done by fund companies, because they want to show their products in the best light possible. I can even understand why some financial journalists follow the same line to avoid discussing funds’ absolute rates of return or alternative investments. The publications these journos work for usually accept fund advertising, after all.

    But why do political journalists who are unaffiliated with the campaigns they cover do it? Why do they so often ask Candidate X only about how his positions compare to those of Candidate Y, and not about the intellectual and moral justifications for those positions? A good example of this was the treatment that journos, even some politically conservative op-ed writers, gave to Senator Lieberman. They tended to treat him as an honorable conservative because he supports the war and has reasonable (as they see it) positions on a number of issues.

    But Lieberman is also the guy who, as Al Gore’s VP candidate in 2000, repudiated his earlier conservative positions (on school choice, racial preferences, etc.) and began parroting the Demo Left’s party line. His doing so clearly had nothing to do with principle and everything to do with opportunism.

    And now that the national mood, particularly on defense, has shifted in a more conservative direction, Lieberman (before he dropped out of the race) was again sounding like one of the most conservative Democrats. Yet journalists by and large ignored his troubling inconsistency — that’s the nicest term for it — and concentrated instead on his standing in the horse race.

    I don’t mean to single out Lieberman; most of the other presidential candidates are worse (I rate Bush higher because of his competent war leadership — an empirical fact, IMO — as well as his relative consistency and more libertarian orientation). My question is why we should take seriously evaluations of presidential candidates that are typically framed exclusively in terms of other candidates. To be blunt about it, by any normal standard most of these guys are liars and phonies. But it’s one thing to say that X is less bad than A, B and C (which is how most voters probably think about it), and quite another to pretend, as the press so often does, that candidates like Sharpton and Dean, much less Lieberman, can be taken seriously on their personal and intellectual merits.

    (Robert Samuelson’s discussion of press complicity in dishonest political arguments is worth reading in this regard.)

     

    4 Responses to “Political Benchmarks”

    1. vinod Says:

      w.r.t. Bush’s Libertarianism – this is where i have the biggest qualms about voting for Bush. I’d argue his record here has been anything BUT libertarian and, in some respects, worse than Clinton (shudder). Spending, Gay Marriage, Flag Burning, steel tariffs, etc.

    2. Jonathan Says:

      I agree that Bush is not a libertarian. However, he is more libertarian than the Democratic candidates are.

    3. Miguel Says:

      Bush is at least COHERENT with himself. He has a position and is not flip-floping like all of the Democraps, specially Kerry “a man for all seasons”. That one point alone makes Bush better than the wishy washy pack.

    4. Sylvain Galineau Says:

      I don’t find Bush necessarily coherent. The man campaigned on more rights for states and less federal spending. Three years later, federal spending has not been higher nor grown faster in ages, and he is considering amending the constitution to say who should marry who. Free-trade one day, protectionist the next.

      As for his war leadership – and I mean war on terror in general, not just Iraq – I am not so impressed. In the context of fighting terror, it is now pretty obvious Iraq was not a high priority target. But it will be one of its biggest costs for years to come. To the extent this is how the intervention was justified, it matters in evaluating his leadership.

      But yes, relatively speaking, he looks better than the alternatives. On this basis, I might vote for him. From a more absolute standpoint, I couldn’t be bothered. He is as much of a liar than any of his predecessors (save Nixon, maybe, but I’d consider him an outlier in many respects).

      But since that’s all elections are about – a choice between competing alternatives – this is most likely to be the favored style by short-term round-the-clock media outlets.