As I was perusing the flotsam and jetsam sloshing around in the swamps after last night’s storm, I came across this surprising (shocking really) bit of information.
Turnout was way down this election, and McCain may well have gotten more votes than Romney when it’s all over.
In 2008, Obama won a whopping 69 million votes and poor McCain was just short of 60 million. This year, with a few million votes left to count as things trickle in, Romney is at 57 million, and Obama has yet to break (but likely will) McCain’s 59,934,814.
Let this sink in…
Romney/Ryan got fewer (or roughly the same) votes as McCain/Palin.
Obama lost around 9 million votes from 2008, and still won re-election.
The comments below will be full of ideas, analysis, and conjecture. Please comment away, but here is my take.
From the moment Romney emerged in 2007, I said that Romney could never win because he’s a Mormon, and evangelicals simply wouldn’t come vote for him in numbers necessary for him to win. In 50/50 elections, Republicans need every vote.
So, after 4-5 years of analysis, posting, blogging, trying to help the hapless Pawlenty, I grudgingly came around to hoping and thinking that Mormonism didn’t matter (which was probably a function of every other Republican being a dolt or a fool).
I was wrong. Mormonism did matter. Some, even if a small number, of evangelicals decided not to come out and vote for Romney. The “broken glass” voters and “anyone but Obama” voters didn’t show up.
To be sure, in a 50/50 nation, every small thing matters. The media ignoring Benghazi mattered. Sandy mattered. Obama’s far superior mybarackobama.com mattered. Akin’s and Mourdock’s foot-in-mouth may have mattered. With all that said, if Mitt Romney were a Presbyterian or a Catholic, he’d be president-elect today.
No exit poll will show it. Analysts will deny it. Evangelicals (and I am one who happily voted for Romney) won’t admit it. But there it is. I’m sure of it.
Obama lost around 9 million votes from 2008, Romney got the same as McCain, and Obama still won. All because of (not a lot, but just enough) religious bigotry.