“Service Industries”

Phil Gramm and Don Boudreaux, in today’s WSJ:

Yet workers aren’t eager to do that (work in manufacturing plants), and for the past 60 years Americans have educated their children to enable them to work in the services industries where wages are higher and opportunities greater.

I wonder what Gramm and Boudreaux visualize when they use the term “service industries.”  It is a very, very broad category, ranging from Uber Eats delivery drivers to shelf stockers at Home Depot to plumbers and handymen to trash collectors to warehouse workers at Amazon to local CPAs and high-level management consultants. Also rock bands, software development companies, and used-car salesmen.

True also of jobs in manufacturing, ranging from assembly worker to skilled machinist or toolmaker to shelf-stocker to dispatcher/expeditor to industrial engineer to PLC programmer to plant manager and VP of manufacturing.

Note that both the factory and the service business will employ janitors doing very similar work, and he will be categorized as a manufacturing or service employee accordingly…unless the job of ‘janitor’ is outsource to another firm, in which case he will fall under ‘services’.

Note also that the work of a distribution warehouse worker and the work of a stocker/picker in a factory will likely be very similar, despite the fact that the latter is considered ‘manufacturing’ and the former is considered ‘services.’  It would appear that Gramm and Boudreaux would regard the job of the warehouse worker as somehow higher-value and more in tune with technological progress.

Also, that part about Americans having educated their children to enable them to work in the services industries where wages are higher and opportunities greater…are they really unaware with the problems with so much American education over past decades, resulting in a lot of people who having limited written communication and even more limited basic math abilities? A lot of people are in dead-end service jobs specifically because of their lack of these skills, and indeed in many cases can function in those jobs at all only because of the computer-based deskilling that has been applied to the work.

Your thoughts?

Woe, Canada

Ahhh…. April in Canada.

The true spring has come. Both the “Third Winter” and the “Spring of Deception” have passed. Like many places that experience harsh winters, summers in Canada are a blast and Canadians know best how to exploit the season. May I recommend Jazz Fest in Montreal this July?

April also means the start of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. Apologies to the NFL, MLB, and the rest but the NHL has the best postseason in all of sports. Especially with the tradition of “playoff beards.” The fact that what appears to be scruffy lumberjacks hoisting the greatest championship trophy in ice hockey in cities where the only ice is found in drinks (Vegas and Miami) during the month of June is besides the point.

I should also add that the greatest “Spring of Deception” was during the 1987 Cup Finals when it snowed in Edmonton on May 31.

The other big highlight for Canada this April? A national election!

Read more

Worth Pondering

I’ve previously posted this passage from George Eliot, but it seems particularly relevant right now:

Fancy what a game of chess would be if all the chessman had passions and intellects, more or less small and cunning; if you were not only uncertain about your adversary’s men, but a little uncertain also about your own . . . You would be especially likely to be beaten if you depended arrogantly on your mathematical imagination, and regarded your passionate pieces with contempt. Yet this imaginary chess is easy compared with a game man has to play against his fellow-men with other fellow-men for instruments.

(from Felix Holt,the Radical)

Previous Worth Pondering post

Tariffs

…a few quick notes.

The US reciprocal tariffs announced by Trump yesterday are not based simply on the other’s countries’ tariffs for imports of US goods; rather, they attempt to also factor in the effect of currency and of non-tariff barriers. The way the numbers were actually determined is based on a simple algorithm driven by relative trade flows.  Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen explains how it works.  Here’s some detail from the US Trade Representative.

Also from the USTR, a very long document containing a country-by-country analysis of non-barriers faced by US imports.

Interesting post from a guy whose company builds machine tools in Japan:

I’m on the machine builder side of the equation, out of Japan. Looks like our product is going up 24% in price (we’ll probably absorb some, but machine tool margins are not astronomical).

We do production machines. Our biggest single customer is Apple, so when you need 100,000+ of something, you call us. If this was just a Japan trade war, we would be boned…

But it isn’t. My books were already full of projects coming back from China. Small companies with big, commodity (500k+ unit) volumes, and we were already showing that you *can* do stuff in the US at a competitive cost with good process design, smart machine selection, and existing automation. This market will be able to absorb a 20% equipment price increase, and still come out way ahed compared to building their product oversees (not just China, but bejesus… overseas *anywhere*).

So short term, this is gonna suck… but the future was going in a direction of unlimited downside, and if this is what it takes to swing that into long-term health? So be it – all of the people saying this is insanity seem to be clinging to a status quo that everyone with eyes could see is headed towards disaster – they have no better answers.