This started out as a comment to Jonathan’s post below, but became too long, so I’m putting it here:
The most important point to remember here is that Europe’s problems are almost exclusively the work of the individual members, and not that of the European Union, which is not a huge disembodied entity, but an organization that can make only such decisions which are approved by all of its members’ governments.
Take the example of Italy: Whenever they ran into problems in the past, they devalued the Lira to make their products more competitive. At the same time imports, especially imports of raw products, and parts the Italian companies need to buy abroad to make their own products, became more expensive. The result was a double-whammy: Increased demand for Italian products and an increase in prices for imports drove up inflation, which in turn led to higher wages and therefore higher inflation. To compensate for these problems, the Italian central bank again devalued the Lira etc, etc, ad nauseam.
This vicious circle led to ever higher inflation, and also ever higher interest rates. Italy gained two benefits by joining the Eurozone: Their inflation was suddenly under control, and they had much lower interest rates. If they had reformed their ruinously expensive social systems, all would have been well, but they didn’t, so that the government now needs a scapegoat. As most governments here do, the EU and the Euro are first choice when it comes to that.
Now to the really sad truth: If Italy hadn’t joined the Euro, it now would be in the same situation Argentina is in – the high inflation and and high interest rates would have dragged it down by now. If they left the Euro, that’s exactly what would happen, only a lot faster – government debt of 106 % of GDP would see to that, if they had to pay the market interest rate rather than the interest rate payable by members of the Eurozone. And if they don’t change their ways, they might even get kicked out.
The problems of France, Germany etc are somewhat different, but these, too, aren`t caused by the EU or the Euro, but rather by the behaviour of the governments in Berlin, Paris etc. It also should be remembered that there are similar, and sometimes even greater, differences in growth and general economic cycle between different regions of the United States, without anybody calling for the abolishment of the Dollar.
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