The Ballots of Maricopa County

A couple of things.

First, a common perception of elections is entangled with the misty notions of a vindication of democracy. Alternatively there is also the view of an annoying process of choosing the lesser of two evils. However, it is also an operational process similar to many others; composed of discrete elements (voter registration, polling station management, vote counting) that must work correctly within a series of dependencies and certain time periods. If that operational process is riddled with problems, then you are going to have a hard time having people accept the final product (an election outcome).

Second, a guiding principle of organizational analysis is a form of “revealed preference”: if you want to know what an organization values, look at what it actually does as opposed to what it says.

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The Coming Storm

David and Sgt. Mom have done an excellent job expressing their concerns about the upcoming election. Accordingly, I will express mine.

We are on the precipice of a disaster.

There are several reasons for my belief.

The first is our voting system. Our system with the proliferation of mail-in balloting and lack of auditable controls seems purpose-designed to breed mistrust and corruption. Also while we talk about how voting now occurs before Election Day, we do not discuss the implications that in many jurisdictions it takes days if not weeks to count the ballots, which presents opportunities for mischief.

The second is the level of rhetoric from the Left over the past week, call it the “Hitler Gambit.”

There has been a lot of criticism from the Right regarding Jeffrey Goldberg’s article in The Atlantic “revealing” Trump’s affinity for Hitler. The critics says that the revelations are old and thinly sourced. The critics miss the point, which is that Goldberg’s article wasn’t so much meant to be an “October Surprise” as it was to give the Democrats the news hook they needed to launch their final argument that Trump is a fascist.

The Goldberg article was merely the starter’s gun for that final argument. Keep in mind that the owner of The Atlantic is Kamala’s “first friend.” On the same day that Goldberg’s article dropped, as if it was a coincidence, we had both the White House confirming that Biden believes Trump is a fascist, and Kamala remarking that Trump was a fascist and, given that and his affinity for Hitler, could not ever be trusted to return to the White House.

Just in case anyone missed the point, Kamala delivered her remarks not as a presidential candidate with an off-the-cuff comment, but in her official capacity with a prepared statement in front of the Vice President’s Residence at the U.S. Naval Observatory.

After delivering her remarks, Kamala turned and left without answering any questions. That is most curious, because if she thought that Trump was within a few weeks of bringing a dark, fascist night onto America, what did she think her and every American’s moral responsibility would be to stop him? Would President Biden, and she as Vice President, in good conscience ever turn over the keys of the White House, even with a clear electoral result, to a man they thought would destroy the Republic? As Justice Robert Jackson once said, “The Constitution is not a suicide pact.”

The third is the Democrats’ declining belief in our Constitution.

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We’re Talking Baseball….

Something different than the high-stakes times we are living in.

Last night was Game One of the World Series. As a kid and for all my mates, this was important viewing.

This year? Los Angeles vs. Yankees. I have already written about my feelings regarding LA and the Yankees are well, New York; normally I would wish a pox on the both of them. Unfortunately this year there doesn’t seem to be any proper villains on either team, they all seem likable guys. Darn.

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Random Thoughts (4)

First:

As I was going through my notes, I came across this quote from John Marini who writes:

“If Trump has recognized a real political crisis, it must be understood as a crisis of the sovereignty of the American nation and its people. It was the authority of the people, established politically as a social compact, that was institutionalized as a constitutional order. Is that order still defensible?”

Note that Marini wrote this in 2018 and yet it remains as relevant today as it was back then.

Marini wrote in Unmasking the Administrative State that what makes Trump unique is that he addresses the American as a citizen and Americans collectively as a nation.

I will also add that Trump addresses Americans as citizens whose interests he is responsible for representing and not as pawns to be used in some ideological joy-ride.

Second:

Godwin’s Law was meant less about a genocidal dictator than as a swipe about the inadequacies of the Internet as a playground of the unwashed masses.

“As an online discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison involving Nazis or Hitler approaches 1.”

Hardy har har.

Then I see articles like this in the Atlantic, or media firestorms about single-sourced accusations regarding comments made more than four years ago, or comments by the White House Press secretary, so that we need to update Godwin’s Law to:

“The more the Left and the media discuss Trump, the more the probability of a comparison involving fascism or Hitler approaches 1.”

Third:

The Left has been daring itself to answer that old question of If you could go back in time and stop Hitler from taking power, what would you be prepared to do?

Or to put it another way…

One does not call his opponent the second coming of Hitler and simply concede an election.

Leaked Documents and Games Within Games

The news last week that there was a leak of highly classified US intelligence documents
concerning Israel’s plans to retaliate against Iran is the stuff for spy thrillers, but a perusal of the various media accounts leaves several questions unanswered.

1) The documents were posted on Telegram by an account of the pro-Iranian “Middle East Spectator.” What exactly is the relationship between the Spectator and the Iranian regime?

2) How did the Spectator receive the documents? Was it a leak from a US intelligence source as claimed or via hack?

3) The Spectator reported two documents that were leaked. Were there more?

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